Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Palmeiras with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on May 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 33.5% | 20.5% | −13.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 40.1% | 51.7% | +11.6 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 20.5% | 10.6% | −9.9 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 46.6% | 56.2% | +9.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 54.0% | 62.9% | +8.9 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 34.6% | 42.7% | +8.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 25.7% | 18.0% | −7.7 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 9.1% | 16.7% | +7.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 19.3% | 26.6% | +7.3 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 33.4% | +7.1 |
