Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Corinthians with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 21 (before the first match) against those on May 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 51.3% | 33.5% | −17.8 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 50.8% | 34.6% | −16.2 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 31.8% | 18.0% | −13.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 56.3% | 69.8% | +13.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 38.3% | 25.7% | −12.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 41.7% | 29.9% | −11.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 42.8% | 54.4% | +11.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 29.8% | 40.1% | +10.4 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 20.0% | 30.1% | +10.1 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 36.9% | 46.6% | +9.7 |
