Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Corinthians with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 30 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Relegation | 43.6% | 24.1% | −19.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 32.2% | 17.9% | −14.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 35.3% | 48.1% | +12.8 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 30.6% | 42.9% | +12.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 27.6% | 16.3% | −11.3 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 31.1% | 20.9% | −10.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 53.6% | 63.6% | +10.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 47.2% | 56.5% | +9.2 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 14.4% | 23.5% | +9.2 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 26.2% | 17.5% | −8.8 |
