Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat São Caetano with a 21.4% chance and Corinthians beat Paraná with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 7 (before the first match) against those on May 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 37.0% | 20.6% | −16.4 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 24.1% | 37.8% | +13.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 48.1% | 36.0% | −12.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 56.5% | 68.1% | +11.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 28.9% | 39.9% | +11.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 32.2% | 22.2% | −10.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 63.6% | 73.1% | +9.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 29.9% | 20.5% | −9.4 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 17.6% | 26.8% | +9.2 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 58.4% | 49.6% | −8.9 |
