Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Botafogo with a 20.2% chance and Santos beat Palmeiras with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 34.1% | 18.4% | −15.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 25.6% | 10.7% | −14.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 46.6% | 32.2% | −14.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 32.0% | 46.1% | +14.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 13.9% | 27.6% | +13.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 35.8% | 22.2% | −13.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 22.2% | 35.3% | +13.1 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 51.9% | 64.4% | +12.5 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 41.7% | 54.1% | +12.4 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 25.2% | 13.2% | −11.9 |
