Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Athletico-PR with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 19 (before the first match) against those on November 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 41.1% | 87.5% | +46.4 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 58.9% | 12.5% | −46.4 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 42.0% | 87.5% | +45.5 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 58.0% | 12.5% | −45.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 44.9% | 89.0% | +44.1 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 45.1% | 64.1% | +19.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 18.4% | 0.7% | −17.7 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 64.2% | 46.5% | −17.7 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 14.8% | 0% | −14.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 86.6% | 100% | +13.4 |
