Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Flamengo with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 12 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 63.4% | 95.8% | +32.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 73.7% | 56.5% | −17.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 32.0% | 14.8% | −17.1 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 41.9% | 58.0% | +16.1 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 58.0% | 42.0% | −16.0 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 57.9% | 45.1% | −12.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 76.9% | 86.6% | +9.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 88.3% | 97.4% | +9.2 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 51.9% | 58.9% | +7.0 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 48.0% | 41.1% | −6.9 |
