Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Internacional with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 26 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 46.5% | 0% | −46.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 53.7% | 100% | +46.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 44.2% | 0% | −44.2 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 64.1% | 100% | +35.9 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 12.5% | 0% | −12.5 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 12.5% | 0% | −12.5 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 87.5% | 100% | +12.5 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 87.5% | 100% | +12.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 89.0% | 100% | +11.0 |
