Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Goiás with a 24.8% chance and Grêmio beat Athletico-PR with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 55.6% | 39.7% | −15.9 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 42.9% | 57.9% | +15.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 29.1% | 17.8% | −11.2 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 11.8% | 1.1% | −10.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 88.2% | 98.9% | +10.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 57.6% | 63.4% | +5.9 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 69.8% | 73.7% | +3.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 63.7% | 67.1% | +3.4 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 61.6% | 64.9% | +3.3 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 54.7% | 58.0% | +3.3 |
