Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Athletico-PR with a 21.1% chance and Flamengo beat Goiás with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 36.1% | 69.8% | +33.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 16.3% | 42.9% | +26.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 50.0% | 29.1% | −20.9 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 23.1% | 43.8% | +20.7 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 67.9% | 55.6% | −12.3 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 38.8% | 50.2% | +11.4 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 60.6% | 49.3% | −11.2 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 64.9% | 54.7% | −10.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 88.6% | 98.7% | +10.1 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 11.4% | 1.3% | −10.1 |
