Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Grêmio with a 24.2% chance, São Caetano beat Ponte Preta with a 22.5% chance, and São Paulo beat Santos with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 43.9% | 60.6% | +16.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 66.1% | 50.0% | −16.1 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 53.7% | 38.8% | −14.9 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 36.5% | 23.1% | −13.4 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 20.3% | 7.2% | −13.1 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 57.0% | 67.9% | +11.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 63.2% | 74.1% | +10.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 94.7% | 86.8% | −7.9 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 5.4% | 13.3% | +7.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 95.3% | 88.6% | −6.6 |
