Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Palmeiras with a 24.1% chance, Figueirense beat Grêmio with a 20.7% chance, Corinthians beat Fortaleza with a 23.7% chance, and Internacional beat Botafogo with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 52.4% | 32.9% | −19.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 39.1% | 57.0% | +17.9 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 44.1% | 58.8% | +14.7 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 73.5% | 60.2% | −13.2 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 80.5% | 92.3% | +11.8 |
| Internacional | Champion | 3.5% | 12.6% | +9.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 72.5% | 64.3% | −8.2 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 8.3% | 16.3% | +8.0 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 61.2% | 53.7% | −7.5 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 43.8% | 36.5% | −7.3 |
