Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Goiás with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 55.8% | 36.8% | −19.0 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 42.7% | 61.2% | +18.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 43.3% | 60.3% | +17.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 55.6% | 72.5% | +16.9 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 54.4% | 39.1% | −15.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 54.9% | 68.3% | +13.4 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 57.4% | 44.1% | −13.3 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 20.5% | 7.4% | −13.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 60.6% | 73.5% | +12.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 92.0% | 80.5% | −11.5 |
