Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Paraná with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 77.2% | 55.8% | −21.4 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 22.4% | 42.7% | +20.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 40.8% | 58.5% | +17.7 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 38.0% | 20.5% | −17.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 39.5% | 54.9% | +15.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 30.4% | 43.3% | +13.0 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 33.7% | 21.6% | −12.1 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 22.9% | 34.0% | +11.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 82.5% | 93.0% | +10.5 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 23.3% | 12.9% | −10.4 |
