Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Botafogo with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 50.7% | 32.1% | −18.6 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 37.2% | 49.3% | +12.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 50.5% | 40.6% | −10.0 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 30.3% | 39.8% | +9.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 19.4% | 10.7% | −8.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 77.4% | 85.7% | +8.3 |
| Internacional | Champion | 16.2% | 24.4% | +8.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 25.5% | 33.4% | +7.8 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 33.2% | 41.0% | +7.7 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 8.6% | 16.0% | +7.5 |
