Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Fortaleza with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 71.8% | 85.9% | +14.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 71.8% | 83.6% | +11.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 32.1% | 20.8% | −11.3 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 49.3% | 60.2% | +11.0 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 41.8% | 52.4% | +10.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 40.6% | 30.0% | −10.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 24.4% | 14.8% | −9.6 |
| Internacional | Champion | 24.4% | 15.7% | −8.7 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 27.4% | 18.9% | −8.5 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 39.8% | 31.9% | −8.0 |
