Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Athletico-PR with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Relegation | 38.7% | 26.6% | −12.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 65.6% | 77.4% | +11.8 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 31.8% | 43.3% | +11.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 23.0% | 11.5% | −11.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 25.4% | 14.8% | −10.5 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 40.6% | 50.7% | +10.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 68.6% | 78.7% | +10.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 59.5% | 69.3% | +9.8 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 40.0% | 30.3% | −9.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 10.3% | 19.4% | +9.1 |
