Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Goiás with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 53.7% | 36.8% | −16.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 65.6% | 52.1% | −13.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 21.1% | 33.3% | +12.2 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 32.6% | 21.1% | −11.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 73.0% | 84.2% | +11.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 37.1% | 48.0% | +10.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 25.2% | 35.7% | +10.6 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 23.2% | 33.4% | +10.3 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 54.2% | 64.4% | +10.2 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 22.3% | 13.9% | −8.3 |
