Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Flamengo with a 21.0% chance and Santa Cruz beat Fortaleza with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 13 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 38.7% | 56.6% | +17.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 80.7% | 65.6% | −15.1 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 34.4% | 23.8% | −10.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 27.1% | 37.1% | +10.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 27.9% | 18.1% | −9.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 16.0% | 25.2% | +9.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 39.7% | 31.1% | −8.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 64.6% | 73.0% | +8.4 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 33.3% | 41.7% | +8.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 76.2% | 68.0% | −8.2 |
