Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat São Paulo with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 23 (before the first match) against those on July 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Libertadores | 37.0% | 57.4% | +20.4 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 47.1% | 57.8% | +10.7 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 40.6% | 31.2% | −9.4 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 52.1% | 43.0% | −9.0 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 36.8% | 27.8% | −9.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 84.2% | 75.5% | −8.7 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 64.4% | 56.1% | −8.3 |
| Santos | Champion | 4.4% | 12.6% | +8.2 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 33.3% | 25.8% | −7.5 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 35.7% | 42.9% | +7.1 |
