Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Vitória with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 25.7% | 36.9% | +11.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 33.7% | 23.2% | −10.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.7% | 41.3% | +9.6 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 51.2% | 43.2% | −7.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 29.0% | 21.5% | −7.5 |
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 29.7% | 36.8% | +7.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 42.9% | 49.5% | +6.6 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 20.7% | 14.3% | −6.4 |
| São Caetano | Champion | 19.3% | 13.1% | −6.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 10.6% | 16.9% | +6.3 |
