Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Athletico-PR with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Libertadores | 14.3% | 23.0% | +8.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 12.8% | 19.5% | +6.7 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 78.2% | 71.5% | −6.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 49.5% | 42.9% | −6.6 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 75.2% | 81.6% | +6.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 21.5% | 15.0% | −6.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 41.3% | 34.9% | −6.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 16.9% | 10.5% | −6.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 21.9% | 16.1% | −5.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 7.1% | 12.8% | +5.7 |
