Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Ponte Preta with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 23 (before the first match) against those on May 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 36.8% | 25.8% | −11.1 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 40.5% | 51.2% | +10.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 48.7% | 39.3% | −9.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 20.8% | 29.0% | +8.3 |
| São Caetano | Champion | 12.2% | 19.3% | +7.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 70.3% | 77.4% | +7.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 15.5% | 22.0% | +6.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 12.9% | 19.4% | +6.5 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 28.0% | 21.7% | −6.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 15.3% | 9.1% | −6.2 |
