Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Paraná with a 22.9% chance and Santos beat São Caetano with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 19.1% | 68.1% | +49.0 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 80.9% | 31.9% | −49.0 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 80.9% | 31.9% | −49.0 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 19.1% | 68.1% | +49.0 |
| Santos | Champion | 26.1% | 74.7% | +48.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 82.1% | 34.4% | −47.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 70.8% | 25.3% | −45.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 21.2% | 55.9% | +34.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 48.9% | 69.4% | +20.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 41.3% | 61.3% | +20.0 |
