Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Juventude with a 21.0% chance and Ponte Preta beat Vitória with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 12 (before the first match) against those on December 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 27.7% | 100% | +72.3 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 68.1% | 0% | −68.1 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 43.0% | 100% | +57.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 55.9% | 0% | −55.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 61.3% | 100% | +38.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 34.4% | 0% | −34.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 68.1% | 100% | +31.9 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 31.9% | 0% | −31.9 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 31.9% | 0% | −31.9 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 69.4% | 100% | +30.6 |
