Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Criciúma with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 36.6% | 17.7% | −18.9 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 30.6% | 48.9% | +18.4 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 34.4% | 17.9% | −16.5 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 16.8% | 31.0% | +14.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 20.7% | 7.3% | −13.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 28.1% | 41.3% | +13.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 71.9% | 82.1% | +10.1 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 16.2% | 26.0% | +9.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 62.2% | 70.8% | +8.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 97.3% | 88.9% | −8.4 |
