Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Cruzeiro with a 21.5% chance and Flamengo beat Palmeiras with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 54.5% | 16.6% | −37.8 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 45.5% | 83.4% | +37.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 49.3% | 18.0% | −31.3 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 61.2% | 87.9% | +26.7 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 38.8% | 12.1% | −26.7 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 40.5% | 16.2% | −24.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 51.8% | 71.9% | +20.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 41.2% | 22.3% | −18.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 15.1% | 30.6% | +15.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 82.5% | 95.7% | +13.3 |
