Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Fluminense with a 23.6% chance, Guarani beat Palmeiras with a 19.1% chance, and Corinthians beat Cruzeiro with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 40.8% | 17.5% | −23.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 59.2% | 82.5% | +23.2 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 22.8% | 45.5% | +22.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 77.2% | 54.5% | −22.7 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 17.9% | 40.5% | +22.7 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 33.9% | 15.1% | −18.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 45.1% | 26.8% | −18.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 34.0% | 51.8% | +17.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 34.3% | 17.2% | −17.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 32.9% | 49.3% | +16.3 |
