Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Figueirense with a 24.3% chance and Internacional beat Juventude with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 56.5% | 39.2% | −17.2 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 38.0% | 22.8% | −15.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 62.0% | 77.2% | +15.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 48.6% | 34.0% | −14.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 72.1% | 59.2% | −12.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 27.9% | 40.8% | +12.9 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 5.2% | 17.9% | +12.7 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 20.9% | 32.9% | +12.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 52.6% | 45.1% | −7.5 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 12.8% | 5.7% | −7.0 |
