Round 40

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ParanáRelegation41.7%24.6%−17.0
Athletico-PRChampion36.6%52.7%+16.1
FlamengoRelegation37.7%21.8%−15.9
SantosChampion43.6%28.0%−15.6
São CaetanoLibertadores43.4%54.5%+11.1
São CaetanoSudamericana56.4%45.5%−10.9
JuventudeSudamericana80.4%91.0%+10.6
JuventudeLibertadores18.9%8.9%−10.0
FluminenseSudamericana35.9%26.9%−9.0
BotafogoRelegation49.5%58.4%+8.9
Home 56.3%
Draw 25.0%
Away 18.7%
Home 54.1%
Draw 25.5%
Away 20.4%
Home 53.6%
Draw 25.6%
Away 20.8%
Home 53.4%
Draw 25.6%
Away 20.9%
Home 51.8%
Draw 26.0%
Away 22.2%
Home 44.0%
Draw 27.8%
Away 28.2%
Home 52.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 21.7%
Home 46.3%
Draw 27.3%
Away 26.4%
Home 51.1%
Draw 26.2%
Away 22.7%
Home 49.0%
Draw 26.6%
Away 24.3%
Home 44.2%
Draw 27.8%
Away 28.1%
Home 58.0%
Draw 24.6%
Away 17.4%