Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Coritiba with a 21.3% chance, Atletico-MG beat Cruzeiro with a 21.6% chance, and Corinthians beat Paraná with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 48.2% | 24.7% | −23.5 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 48.0% | 70.7% | +22.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 39.4% | 57.1% | +17.8 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 31.6% | 17.9% | −13.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 22.4% | 9.7% | −12.7 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 79.3% | 91.1% | +11.7 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 70.8% | 81.5% | +10.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 21.3% | 11.1% | −10.2 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 47.5% | 57.3% | +9.9 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 25.7% | 17.1% | −8.6 |
