Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Guarani beat Internacional with a 19.9% chance and Vasco beat Coritiba with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 37.1% | 65.3% | +28.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 61.9% | 34.7% | −27.1 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 63.7% | 43.4% | −20.3 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 36.2% | 56.4% | +20.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 24.7% | 41.4% | +16.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 57.1% | 41.7% | −15.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 46.5% | 61.2% | +14.8 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 17.9% | 3.8% | −14.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 24.0% | 37.7% | +13.7 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 12.7% | 1.7% | −11.0 |
