Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Figueirense with a 19.6% chance and Palmeiras beat Vasco with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 74.4% | 61.8% | −12.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 37.1% | 24.5% | −12.5 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 43.4% | 30.9% | −12.5 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 26.5% | 14.9% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 22.0% | 33.3% | +11.4 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 69.1% | 58.3% | −10.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 45.8% | 54.8% | +9.0 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 45.8% | 54.1% | +8.3 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 43.9% | 51.8% | +7.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 24.3% | 16.6% | −7.7 |
