Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Ponte Preta with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 9 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 69.7% | 55.2% | −14.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 35.1% | 21.7% | −13.3 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 30.0% | 43.1% | +13.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 75.4% | 86.8% | +11.4 |
| Santos | Champion | 30.5% | 41.2% | +10.6 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 55.9% | 65.9% | +10.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 21.8% | 12.3% | −9.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 27.0% | 36.3% | +9.4 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 44.6% | 53.6% | +9.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 70.9% | 79.8% | +8.9 |
