Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Palmeiras with a 22.7% chance, Paysandu beat Vasco with a 20.1% chance, and Fluminense beat Vitória with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Relegation | 36.7% | 18.3% | −18.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 50.8% | 35.1% | −15.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 69.0% | 55.9% | −13.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 34.5% | 45.2% | +10.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 59.9% | 69.7% | +9.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 23.5% | 32.5% | +9.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 30.5% | 38.5% | +8.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 72.3% | 79.9% | +7.6 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 31.0% | 23.5% | −7.5 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 39.0% | 46.3% | +7.3 |
