Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Coritiba with a 23.5% chance, Corinthians beat Palmeiras with a 21.1% chance, and Flamengo beat São Caetano with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 47.2% | 64.2% | +17.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 47.2% | 31.4% | −15.8 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 35.1% | 49.6% | +14.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 64.2% | 52.1% | −12.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 63.9% | 76.0% | +12.1 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 24.0% | 36.0% | +12.0 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 58.2% | 47.9% | −10.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 40.2% | 30.1% | −10.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 10.8% | 20.3% | +9.4 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 21.6% | 13.4% | −8.1 |
