Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Criciúma with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 37.2% | +10.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 58.0% | 47.2% | −10.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 37.7% | 47.2% | +9.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 58.9% | 68.0% | +9.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 38.2% | 47.2% | +9.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 60.8% | 53.3% | −7.5 |
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 27.5% | 20.5% | −7.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 32.1% | 25.0% | −7.1 |
| Santos | Champion | 18.2% | 24.8% | +6.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 20.0% | 13.7% | −6.3 |
