Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 9 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Cruzeiro with a 23.2% chance and Juventude beat Grêmio with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 69.6% | 56.6% | −13.0 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 70.1% | 58.0% | −12.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 71.0% | 58.9% | −12.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 29.3% | 40.9% | +11.6 |
| Santos | Champion | 29.0% | 18.2% | −10.8 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 30.6% | 41.1% | +10.5 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 28.1% | 38.2% | +10.1 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 63.0% | 53.0% | −10.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 23.1% | 32.5% | +9.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 50.0% | 58.0% | +8.0 |
