Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Atletico-MG with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 63.4% | 50.0% | −13.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 46.6% | 58.0% | +11.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 66.7% | 56.2% | −10.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 36.1% | 26.8% | −9.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 25.6% | 16.9% | −8.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 20.7% | 12.9% | −7.9 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 25.0% | 32.7% | +7.7 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 14.2% | 20.7% | +6.5 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 12.5% | 18.9% | +6.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 27.4% | +5.9 |
