Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Figueirense with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 8 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 24.4% | 13.3% | −11.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 35.1% | 24.6% | −10.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 56.2% | 65.7% | +9.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 58.0% | 66.7% | +8.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 18.7% | 26.4% | +7.8 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 18.1% | 25.4% | +7.4 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 57.9% | 65.2% | +7.3 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 21.1% | 14.2% | −6.9 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 10.1% | 4.4% | −5.7 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 59.9% | 65.5% | +5.6 |
