Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Goiás with a 21.3% chance, São Caetano beat Santos with a 20.5% chance, Ponte Preta beat Internacional with a 19.5% chance, and Palmeiras beat Criciúma with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 5 (before the first match) against those on August 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 29.6% | 42.2% | +12.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 18.6% | 30.8% | +12.3 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 67.6% | 56.2% | −11.4 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 46.2% | 35.1% | −11.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 68.7% | 59.3% | −9.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 33.8% | 42.6% | +8.8 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 12.5% | 21.1% | +8.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 50.5% | 57.9% | +7.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 65.1% | 58.0% | −7.2 |
| Santos | Champion | 26.5% | 19.4% | −7.2 |
