Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Palmeiras with a 24.0% chance, Athletico-PR beat São Caetano with a 22.2% chance, and Corinthians beat Vasco with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 1 (before the first match) against those on August 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 43.6% | 29.6% | −14.0 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 33.2% | 46.2% | +12.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 39.3% | 50.5% | +11.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 23.5% | 33.8% | +10.3 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 29.1% | 19.1% | −10.0 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 69.5% | 59.8% | −9.7 |
| Santos | Champion | 36.0% | 26.5% | −9.5 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 21.6% | 12.5% | −9.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 55.9% | 64.7% | +8.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 75.8% | 67.6% | −8.2 |
