Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Atletico-MG with a 24.4% chance, Flamengo beat Guarani with a 24.5% chance, and Ponte Preta beat São Caetano with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Libertadores | 25.0% | 38.4% | +13.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 33.4% | 45.4% | +12.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 46.4% | 35.3% | −11.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 21.4% | 32.0% | +10.7 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 55.7% | 45.1% | −10.6 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 70.8% | 61.5% | −9.3 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 51.7% | 60.9% | +9.2 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 24.7% | 33.4% | +8.7 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 21.8% | 13.5% | −8.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 59.4% | 51.5% | −8.0 |
