Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Flamengo with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 14 (before the first match) against those on July 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Libertadores | 61.7% | 51.7% | −10.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 46.2% | 55.7% | +9.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 28.9% | 20.0% | −8.9 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 45.4% | 36.7% | −8.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 13.3% | 6.2% | −7.1 |
| Santos | Champion | 24.3% | 17.2% | −7.1 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 15.7% | 21.8% | +6.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 23.6% | 29.5% | +5.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 18.9% | 24.7% | +5.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 42.7% | 48.4% | +5.7 |
