Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Internacional with a 19.6% chance and São Caetano beat Cruzeiro with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 33.1% | 23.4% | −9.7 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 16.1% | 25.2% | +9.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 33.4% | 24.5% | −8.9 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 13.5% | 22.2% | +8.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 28.6% | 20.4% | −8.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 27.7% | 20.8% | −6.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 51.5% | 58.1% | +6.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 40.6% | 46.8% | +6.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 38.4% | 33.0% | −5.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 19.3% | 24.6% | +5.3 |
