Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Vasco with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Relegation | 73.7% | 62.7% | −11.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 51.5% | 61.7% | +10.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 36.5% | 46.2% | +9.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 24.9% | 34.1% | +9.3 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 32.9% | 42.1% | +9.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 19.9% | 28.9% | +9.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 36.7% | 28.6% | −8.1 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 29.4% | 21.4% | −8.0 |
| Santos | Champion | 16.8% | 24.3% | +7.5 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 15.5% | 22.7% | +7.2 |
