Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 10 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Flamengo with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 8 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 33.5% | 24.9% | −8.7 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 28.2% | 36.5% | +8.4 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 37.6% | 29.4% | −8.2 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 43.7% | 51.1% | +7.4 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 26.1% | 32.9% | +6.8 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 29.9% | 36.7% | +6.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 21.4% | 14.8% | −6.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 25.3% | 18.7% | −6.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 45.1% | 51.5% | +6.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 49.1% | 42.8% | −6.3 |
