Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Coritiba with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on July 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 72.8% | 59.5% | −13.4 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 50.3% | 37.6% | −12.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 33.0% | 45.1% | +12.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 35.0% | 43.6% | +8.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 22.4% | 29.9% | +7.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 26.1% | 33.5% | +7.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.8% | 24.5% | −7.3 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 17.2% | 24.0% | +6.8 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 14.4% | 7.8% | −6.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 18.8% | 25.3% | +6.5 |
