Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Criciúma with a 19.2% chance, Figueirense beat Flamengo with a 24.3% chance, Vasco beat Internacional with a 18.8% chance, and Athletico-PR beat Atletico-MG with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 24 (before the first match) against those on June 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 34.6% | 49.8% | +15.2 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 22.9% | 37.2% | +14.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 34.3% | 23.8% | −10.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 71.3% | 60.8% | −10.4 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 27.4% | 17.3% | −10.1 |
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 31.8% | 23.6% | −8.2 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 9.6% | 17.1% | +7.5 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 26.6% | 19.2% | −7.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 15.2% | 22.4% | +7.2 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 35.4% | 42.6% | +7.2 |
