Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 18 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 39.4% | 28.4% | −11.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 26.3% | 36.7% | +10.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 61.3% | 71.5% | +10.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 30.7% | 20.6% | −10.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 46.4% | 55.9% | +9.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 20.0% | 27.9% | +7.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 36.0% | 28.4% | −7.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 38.5% | 46.1% | +7.6 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 17.1% | 23.9% | +6.8 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 18.4% | 12.4% | −6.0 |